Overview of the Basics of Probability

Probability is a term we are relatively familiar with. However, when you look up the definition of probability, youll find a variety of similar definitions. Probability is all around us. Probability refers to the likelihood or relative frequency for something to happen. The continuum of probability falls anywhere from impossible to certain and anywhere in between. When we speak of chance or the odds; the chances or odds of winning the lottery, were also referring to probability. The chances or odds or probability of winning the lottery is something like 18 million to 1. In other words, the probability of winning the lottery is highly unlikely. Weather forecasters use probability to inform us of the likelihood (probability) of storms, sun, precipitation, temperature and along with all weather patterns and trends. Youll hear that theres a 10% chance of rain. To make this prediction, a lot of data is taken into account and then analyzed. The medical field informs us of the likelihood of developing high blood pressure, heart disease, diabetes, the odds of beating cancer etc. The Importance of Probablity in Everyday Life Probability has become a topic in math that has grown out of societal needs. The language of probability starts as early as kindergarten and remains a topic through high school and beyond. The collection and analysis of data have become extremely prevalent throughout the math curriculum. Students typically do experiments to analyze possible outcomes and to calculate frequencies and relative frequencies.Why? Because making predictions is extremely important and useful. Its what drives our researchers and statisticians who will make predictions about disease, the environment, cures, optimal health, highway safety, and air safety to name a few. We fly because we are told that there is only a 1 in 10 million chance of dying in an airplane crash. It takes the analysis of a great deal of data to determine the probability/chances of events and to do so as accurately as possible. In school, students will make predictions based on simple experiments. For instance, they roll dice to determine how often theyll roll a 4. (1 in 6) But they will also soon discover that it is very difficult to predict with any kind of accuracy or certainty what t.he outcome of any given roll will be. They will also discover that the results will be better as the number of trials grows. The results for a low number of trials is not as good as the results are for a large number of trials. With probability being the likelihood of an outcome or event, we can say that the theoretical probability of an event is the number of outcomes of the event divided by the number of possible outcomes. Hence the dice, 1 out of 6. Typically, the math curriculum will require students to conduct experiments, determine fairness, collect the data using various methods, interpret and analyze the data, display the data and state the rule for the probability of the outcome. In summary, probability deals with patterns and trends that occur in random events. Probability helps us to determine what the likelihood of something happening will be. Statistics and simulations help us to determine probability with greater accuracy. Simply put, one could say probability is the study of chance. It affects so many aspects of life, everything from earthquakes occurring to sharing a birthday. If youre interested in probability, the field in math youll want to pursue will be data management and statistics.

Satire in Tartuffe and Modest Proposal - 1560 Words

Charles Crespo Professor Margaret Hazell ENG 2850 9 April 2013 What is satire, satire is a particular genre of literature that sometimes makes use of graphic and performing arts with the intent of ridiculing society into self-improvement. With social criticism being its main goal, it utilizes wit and dark sarcasm as its main tools to illustrate its point. Satire influences individuals to reevaluate themselves in order to modify senseless thoughts and behaviors. Various techniques are used in order to deliver a satirist effect, those of which house wit as their main weapon. These methods harmonize the mastering of coexisting trivial and serious matters as one sarcasm, showing praise but meaning the contrary to demonstrate irony, and†¦show more content†¦Nothing comes in the way of increasing profits and becoming more financially conservative, as well as simultaneously resolving issues with the homeless. Swift’s satirist methods seep in as he reaches out to the Irish by highlighting the dreadfulness of the situation, and more impor tantly how little is being done to improve it. No particular social class was held solely responsible, as it was found to have affected as high up as politicians to the lowest class. If one were to dissect this message, it demonstrates criticism aside from the Irish but overall it satirizes the incompetence mankind has in resolving our own issues. Swift is consistent with producing underlying statements that make appearances throughout the essay. These remarks shed light on his resentment towards the incompetence that we all possess. First of, Tartuffe, which in French mean â€Å"ou l’Imposteur† (the hypocrite), remains one of the most entertaining play on human greed and manipulation ever the innocent. It was created by Molià ¨re to discuss the current social scene of the time by criticizing those who use religion for their own gain. Molià ¨re accomplishes this comic effect with his style and language of the play, dedicated to exposing follies of society; his plays use a variety of techniques that have become the gold standard of comic writing. For example, â€Å"And I’m to be as quiet as a mouse, about this tyrant’s power in our house.† (Tartuffe, 145) This causes his audienceShow MoreRelated Satire in Moliere’s Tartuffe, Voltaire’s Candide, and Swift’s A Modest Proposal931 Words   |  4 Pages The Merriam-Webster Dictionary defines satire as: â€Å"literary work holding up human vices and follies to ridicule or scorn.† Besides this definition satire can also be seen as the particular literary way of making possible the improvement of humanity and its institutions. In the three works: Moliere’s â€Å"Tartuffe,† Voltaire’s â€Å"Candide,† and Swift’s â€Å"A Modest Proposal† the authors indirectly criticize and ridicule human behavior and characteristics but with the goal for improving these faults ratherRead MoreThe Enlightenment: An Incredible Change1163 Words   |  5 Pagesthe concept of â€Å"Satire†, such as verbal, situational, and dramatic irony to depict their message across. In literature, one of the components of satire is verbal irony which occurs when the author depicts his message to the readers indirectly and uses sarcasm to prove his argument. For instance, â€Å"Tartuffe† a famous play written by Moliere depicts the life of a religious hypocrite who scams people while using religion as a cover. In the play, many family members recognized Tartuffe as a religiousRead MoreA Modest Proposal On Satire1239 Words   |  5 PagesSatire is a specific classification of writing that occasionally makes utilization of realistic and performing expressions with the aim of scorning society into self-change. With social criticism being its fundamental objective, it uses dark sarcasm as its primary device to get the point across. Satire impacts people to reconsider themselves so as to alter senseless thoughts and behaviors. Different techniques are utilized in delivering the satirical impact, those of which use wit as their primary

The Farewell to Miss American Pie Free Essays

â€Å"Bye-bye Miss American Pie†. These words were now immortalized in the halls of music industry, and perhaps will be last tribute to the legendary era of ‘rock and roll’ and turbulent times of the 60’s. This song was created by Don McLean, and became phenomenal hit in 1971, charting almost four weeks on the billboards. We will write a custom essay sample on The Farewell to Miss American Pie or any similar topic only for you Order Now But there is more than saying goodbye to Ms. American Pie, which in itself is a symbol and image to the profound interpretation of the song. The message pierces more than a county boy strumming a guitar, or it speaks beyond the farewell to an unknown lady. Don McLean, in his official website, made interesting comments regarding the song. While he allowed the song to be interpreted in various lenses, he himself confessed that the song was an allusion to historical or factual events, people and places that his song discussed. Don McLean said, â€Å"I am very proud of the song, it’s biographical in nature, and I don’t think anyone has ever picked up on that, the song starts off with my memory with the death of Buddy Holly. But it moves on to describe America, as I was seeing it, and how I fantasizing it might become, its part of reality and part of fantasy but I’m always in the song as a witness, or even as a subject, sometimes in some verses† (Starry, Stary Night Video 2000, cited in www. don-mclean . com). Realizing that McLeans work is to be approached in autobiographical sense, the memories of his childhood his personal persuasions and feelings can be deduced. In the very first line, â€Å"A long, long time ago, I can still remember, how the music made me smile, and I knew If I had a chance, that I could make those people dance, and, maybe they’ll be happy for a while†¦Ã¢â‚¬ (Miss American Pie lyrics). The persona in the song, was â€Å"I†, a first person point of view, bolstering the point of McLean that this is biographical. The persona clearly stated that it was his ‘memory’ and it was his wish to ‘make people smile and happy’ for a while. This simple statement speaks of a typical young man musician’s dream, his own wishful thinking. As also stated in his website, the song was openly dedicated to the death of Buddy Holly and his companions, who died in a plane crash. This tragic death, moved to illustrate the transiency of life, and wishes in that sense are to be as pure, as simply stating: â€Å"chance to make people dance and make them happy for a while†. Clear from the second and third stanza the descriptions were, â€Å"But February made me shiver†¦bad news on the doorstep, I couldn’t make one more step†. This alludes to the death of Buddy Holly, one of the prominent rock singers in the 60’s (RS, 2004). Their plane crashed in February 3, 1959, which shocked their audience of their untimely death. It could be said that the dedication of the song to Buddy Holly was not because he was a major contributor to the genre of McLean’s music, rather, it was a common knowledge that Buddy Holly was the pioneer of rock roll music, long before, Elvis Presley, and the Beatles invaded the long playing discs. But the death of Buddy Holly was more than the death of an individual, as the song suggests â€Å"This’ll be the day that I die†¦Ã¢â‚¬ . The demise of Buddy Holly signifies the death of a young promising man, the death of dream, and the death of wishful thinking. Linking the first stanza, to the second and third, the dream of the persona, to live, to entertain, presented a harsh reality of transiency, of â€Å"non-permanence of things. Like the death of Buddy Holly, who may epitomize the budding career of an ambitious young man only to be interrupted by the fact that, death is no respecter of persons. The chorus lines, were repetitious saying â€Å"bye-bye Miss American Pie†. The seeming relevance of this allusion is the representation of American Pie, as the symbol of the â€Å"young and vibrant Americans†. As McLean admitted, â€Å"the song was written as my attempt at an epic song about America, and I used the imagery of music and politics to do that. Also, I was influenced by the Sgt. Pepper album, and the American Pie album was my attempt to do that, but the song totally overshadowed the album† (McLean, 2000, cited www. don-mclean. com). Thus, the â€Å"American Pie† is an image of America, and the persona’s attempt to picture the America as it strives to be, and it might become. But contrasting words will reveal that, if the persona illustrates â€Å"American Pie† as the young America, then why a bid of farewell? Is the persona, trying to say goodbye to future America has? Again, it can be viewed skeptically, the young dream, as mentioned earlier, the wishful thinking must not be allowed to vanish, it must move, it must sojourn. The next lines driving the chevy, â€Å"but the levee was dry†, this illustrates the life of the young America to rise, go or, to go farther, or move on. But the dry levee was said to illustrate the painful realities of life as we move along. Even driving oneself to that dream, the levees of experiences and circumstance would always be dry. A realism is seem to be presented, that life is not a bed of roses, rather it was a long winding trip to the end. The melancholic lines continuously read: â€Å" The good’ol boys were drinking, whiskey and rye, saying this’ll be the day that I die†¦Ã¢â‚¬  . Presenting the realistic point of view, the good old boys verbalized the promising young people, yet with the painful realities, they have succumbed to the defeatists attitude of lurking themselves, as pictured by the words, â€Å"drinking, whiskey and rye†. The drinking symbolizes solitary, loneliness and isolation. This thought bolstered the point of death, and surrender by proclaiming â€Å"this’ll be the day that I die†. Two oppositions may come into the picture. First, wishful thinking and dreams versus the paralyzing truths of life, we may succumb to surrender and declare our defeat with our own death—demise of our dreams, our lives, our hopes. Yet, this could pose as challenge, that the farewell to Miss American Pie, may be a welcome to her—as we welcome the challenges and bitter moments in our lives with energy and courage. The song illustrates several allusions more to the music icons, the rage of politics, the America’s society, but this attempt is to illustrate the more profound meaning of the song, realization of life, and how do we deal with it. As said, we may live and fight be sad, and drink whiskey and rye to our own discontent or we may rise above the situation, and welcome our American Pie, with â€Å"Hi, Hi, Miss American Pie†¦Ã¢â‚¬  SOURCES: Don McLeans. Don McLean’s American pie. American Pie. com. 2007. May 29, 2007 http://www. don-mclean. com/americanpie. asp The Immortals: The First Fifty, Rolling Stone Issue, 946. Rolling Stones. April 15, 2004. Bressler, Charles. Literary Criticism: An Introduction to Theory and Practice. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 1994 (please include the source in LA Times, the data is difficult to recover, LA Times, February 3, 1959. ) How to cite The Farewell to Miss American Pie, Papers

Dbq Mini Q Renaissance Hq Student Fi Essay Example For Students

Dbq Mini Q Renaissance Hq Student Fi Essay Ell Arguments in favor of a specialized education: Personal opinion: Do you feel that your educe action has been too specialized or not specialized enough? Explain. 0 2011 The DB project 33 Background Essay How Did the Renaissance Change Mans View of Man? The Remains seance was a period of big change in Europe an history y. It was a time of intellectual and groundbreaking scientific advances were made. Over the course of about 300 years , the Renaissance spread from its home base in Italy to western and northern Europe. The effect was like a sunrise making its way across the land. To understand the changes the Renaissance produced, it helps to review what European society was like before it arrived. The time period before the Renaissance is usually called he Middle Ages , which stretched from the fall of the Roman Empire around 500 CE to about 1350. During the Middle Ages, the Roman Catch lick Church and the Pope were the primary players in Europe. The custodians of culture that is, the people who owned most of the books and made handwritten copies of the Bible were priests who often lived a closed existence inside the walls of monasteries. School s were few. Illiteracy was widespread. Most of the population, more than 85 percent, was peasant farmers called serfs who worked for a lord and his estate. Serfs were little more than slaves. Both serfs and their masters looked to the Catch lick Church and the Bible to explain the world. The art and literature that existed focused on Jesus Christ and sin. In the asses, important changes began to happen. Improved farming methods helped peasants become more self-sufficient. More and more serfs gained their freedom and no longer depended on lord s. Some freed serfs migrated to towns, where they took up trades. The nun these people needed to have an education to effectively carry on their work, literacy spread. Eventually, educated people began to question the teachings of the Church. A movement called humanism developed, which praised the beauty and intelligence of the individual. As more people became educated, human ism worked its way into the arts, literature, the sciences, and medicine. The early Renaissance was especially vigor us in the city-states of Italy place s like Rome , Venice, Florence, and Milan. The invention of the printing press in the mid-asses gave the Re nuisance and humanism even more momentum. Initially, the Remains seance was an upper-middle class movement, but thank s to the mechanization of printing, shopkeepers and street sweepers were able ewe ideas spreading acre ss Europe. As a result, people started to look at themselves in a new way. But what, exactly, was this new way? Examine the documents that follow and answer the question: How did the Renaissance change man s view of man ? 435 Background Essay Questions 1 . What is the meaning of the word renaissance? Describe the time period known as the Renaissance. 2. In general terms, how would you describe the Middle Ages? 3. Why did educate on start to increase during the BOOS? 4. Why was the printing press so important to the spread of the Arena seance and animist thinking? 5. Define these term s: Middle Ages monasteries illiteracy serfs humanism 1324 CE Mans MUSM begins HaJJ to Mecca. 1433 Sheen He makes a final voyage to Africa. 1453 Byzantine Empire falls. 1455 Gutenberg prints 180 Bibles. 1503 Leonardo dad Vinci completes the Mona Lisa. 1601 Shakespeare writes Hamlet. 37 Understanding the Question and Pre-Bucketing Understanding the Question 1 . What is the analytical question asked by this Mini-Q? 2. What terms in the question need to be defined? 3. Rewrite the question in your own words. Pre-Bucketing Directions: Using any clues from the Mini-Q question and the document title s on the cover page , create possible analytical categories and label the buckets. 0 201 1 The DB projec t 439 Document A Sources: Images: Madonna Enthroned Between Two Angels by Disco did Obnoxiousness; Mona Lisa by Leonardo dad Vinci. .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 , .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .postImageUrl , .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .centered-text-area { min-height: 80px; position: relative; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 , .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5:hover , .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5:visited , .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5:active { border:0!important; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .clearfix:after { content: ""; display: table; clear: both; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 { display: block; transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; width: 100%; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #95A5A6; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5:active , .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #2C3E50; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .centered-text-area { width: 100%; position: relative ; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .ctaText { border-bottom: 0 solid #fff; color: #2980B9; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; margin: 0; padding: 0; text-decoration: underline; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .postTitle { color: #FFFFFF; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 600; margin: 0; padding: 0; width: 100%; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .ctaButton { background-color: #7F8C8D!important; color: #2980B9; border: none; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 26px; moz-border-radius: 3px; text-align: center; text-decoration: none; text-shadow: none; width: 80px; min-height: 80px; background: url(https://artscolumbia.org/wp-content/plugins/intelly-related-posts/assets/images/simple-arrow.png)no-repeat; position: absolute; right: 0; top: 0; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5:hover .ctaButton { background-color: #34495E!important; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .centered-text { display: table; height: 80px; padding-left : 18px; top: 0; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5 .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5-content { display: table-cell; margin: 0; padding: 0; padding-right: 108px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle; width: 100%; } .u703ed7006597886410073cbbc6b3a9c5:after { content: ""; display: block; clear: both; } READ: Life During the English Renaissance EssayText: Theodore Arab, The Last Days of the Renaissance The March to Modernity, Basic Books, 2006. Note: The painting on the left was done in the late asses by the Italian artist Disco did Obnoxiousness. During the Middle Ages, most paintings had religious subject matter. The painting on the eight, the Mona Lisa, was made by the Renaissance artist and scholar Leonardo dad Vinci in the early asses. The evidence of the break with medieval culture comes from the visual arts. It] was the essence of the Renaissance One begins to know the names of the natural folds in drapery, and three-dimensional figures; and one begins to notice the em phasis on symbolic representation giving way to depictions of recognizable scenes the new artistic styles would echo the broader movements and interests of the new age Neither the techniques nor the forms of artistic expression were to be the same again. Document Analysis 1 . What were the names of the artists who created these two paintings and when was each painted? 1st artist -2nd artist Date painted -Date painted 2. Which of the two paintings is a Renaissance painting? 3. Using hints from the text excerpt, describe at least three ways in which the paintings are different. 4. How do these two paintings show that, during the Renaissance, mans view of man was changing? 441 Document B Source: Excerpt from an English play called Everyman , written by an unknown author in 1485. Note: Though written in 1485, which was during the Renaissance period , Hess lines carry a message right out of the Middle Ages. Source: Excerpt from Act II, Scene II of Hamlet by William Shakespeare, 1601. 1. Who is Everyman? 2. How do Everyman ideas about sin change as he gets older? 3. Who is the Heaven- King and what is the general reckoning? 4. What does Shakespeare mean when he says, What a piece of work is a man! ? 6. How do these two passages show how the Renaissance changed man s view of man? 0 2011 The DB project Renaissance Mini-O Document C Source: Drawings of the universe by Claudia Ptolemy (circa 100 CE) and Nicolas Copernicus (circa 1500). Note: Ptolemy (toll-eh-MME) was a Roman astronomer who lived in Alexandria, Egypt, about 100 years after the time of Jesus. He developed a theory of the universe that was adopted by most scholars during the Middle Ages. The POI sis astronomer Nicolas Copernicus lived from 1473 to 1543. Relying mostly on mathematics, he developed a very different understanding of the universe. Geocentric means earth-centered and heliocentric means sun-centered. The Geocentric Universe of Ptolemy The Heliocentric Universe of Copernicus (Solid) in his diagram? 2. According to Copernicus diagram, how does the universe work? . The ideas of Copernicus were upsetting to the Catholic Church. What might explain this? 4. How might the ideas of Copernicus have influenced the way people thought about the nature of man and mans place in the universe? 445 Document D Source: A woodcut called Zodiac Man from a book by German astronomer Johann Registrations, 1 512, and a woodcut from the anatomy book On the Makeup of the Human Body by Belgian physician Andrea Vesuvius,1 543. Note: The image on the left reflects the Middle Ages belief that each sign of the zodiac governed a certain part of the body. For example , the constellation of stars called Aries the Ram controlled the head ; Sagittarius the Archer con trolled the thighs. The illustration on the right was based on the research done by Andrea Vesuvius , who dissected human corpses to better explain the human body to his medical students. The zodiac is a band of 12 groups of constellations (stars) that stretch across the sky. 1. Which of the drawings is more real stick? Explain. 2. During medieval times, what was widely believed to control the health and well being of different parts of the body? Give an example. 3. What do you suppose Vesuvius thought of the zodiac theory of anatomy ? 4 . .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 , .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .postImageUrl , .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .centered-text-area { min-height: 80px; position: relative; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 , .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80:hover , .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80:visited , .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80:active { border:0!important; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .clearfix:after { content: ""; display: table; clear: both; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 { display: block; transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; width: 100%; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #95A5A6; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80:active , .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #2C3E50; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .centered-text-area { width: 100%; position: relative ; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .ctaText { border-bottom: 0 solid #fff; color: #2980B9; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; margin: 0; padding: 0; text-decoration: underline; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .postTitle { color: #FFFFFF; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 600; margin: 0; padding: 0; width: 100%; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .ctaButton { background-color: #7F8C8D!important; color: #2980B9; border: none; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 26px; moz-border-radius: 3px; text-align: center; text-decoration: none; text-shadow: none; width: 80px; min-height: 80px; background: url(https://artscolumbia.org/wp-content/plugins/intelly-related-posts/assets/images/simple-arrow.png)no-repeat; position: absolute; right: 0; top: 0; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80:hover .ctaButton { background-color: #34495E!important; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .centered-text { display: table; height: 80px; padding-left : 18px; top: 0; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80 .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80-content { display: table-cell; margin: 0; padding: 0; padding-right: 108px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle; width: 100%; } .u000ffbd640388369a2ba9cdee8a9fd80:after { content: ""; display: block; clear: both; } READ: Machiavelli and Renaissance philosophyHow did Vesuvius get hi s information about the makeup of the human body ? 5. How does this document show how the Renaissance changed mans view of man ? 0 2011 The O BOB project Bucketing Getting Ready to Write Bucketing Look over all the documents and organize them into your final buckets. Write labels under each bucket and place the letters of the documents in the buckets where they belong. Plan out either a three- or four- body paragraph essay. Thesis Development and Road Map On the chicken foot below, write your thesis and your road map. Your thesis is always an opinion that answer s the Mini-Q question. The road map is created from your bucket labels and lists the topic areas you will examine in order to prove your thesis s. 449 From Thesis to Essay Writing Mini-Q Essay Outline Guide Working Title Paragraph #1 Grabber Background Stating the question with key terms defined Thesis and road map Paragraph #2 Baby The sis for bucket one Evidence: supporting detail from documents with document citation Argument: connecting evidence to the thesis Paragraph #3 Baby The sis for bucket two Evidence Argument